Calcolatore Value Bet

Calcolatore Value Bet

Calcola se una scommessa ha valore atteso positivo (EV+). Inserisci le quote e la probabilita stimata.

Your parameters

Expected Value (EV)
Bet value
Implied probability (odds)
Edge
Expected profit per bet

What is a value bet?

A value bet is a bet where the true probability of an event is higher than the implied probability of the odds offered by the bookmaker. In other words, the bookmaker underestimates the chances of the event.

The formula

EV = (Probability × Odds) - 1

  • If EV > 0: the bet has positive value (EV+) — long-term, you make money
  • If EV < 0: the bet has negative value (EV-) — long-term, you lose money